Risk and uncertainty
are an integral part of an investment decision. Technically, 'Risk' can be
defined as a situation where the possible consequences of the decision that is
to be taken are known. 'Uncertainty' is generally defined to apply to
situations where the probabilities cannot be estimated. However, risk
and uncertainty are used interchangeably.
The main focus
contributing to risk are price and interest. Risk is also
influenced by external and internal considerations.
influenced by external and internal considerations.
External risks
are uncontrollable and broadly affect the investments. These external risks are
called systematic risk. Risk due to internal environment of a firm or those affecting
a particular industry are referred to as unsystematic risk.
Systematic Risk
Systematic Risk
is non-diversifiable and is associated with the securities market as well as
the
Economic (Sudden
depression affects the demand for the products)
Sociological
(Changes in the habit of the people, that affects the demand for particular
product)
Political (When
there is a change of new policies implemented by the government)
Legal
considerations, (Suddenly nationalizing certain industries by the government)
of the prices of all securities in the economy.
The effect of
these factors is to put pressure on all securities in such a way that the
prices of all stocks will move in the same direction. For example, during a
boom period, prices of all securities will rise and indicate that the economy
towards prosperity.
Unsystematic Risk
Unsystematic
Risk is unique to a firm or industry. It does not affect an average investor.
Unsystematic Risk is caused by factors like:
1) Labor
Strike,
2) Irregular
disorganized management policies and
3) Consumer
Preferences.
These factors
are independent of the price mechanism operating in the securities market.
Systematic and
Unsystematic Risks can be further classified as follows:
Systematic Risk
covers market risk, interest rate and Unsystematic Risk contains business and
financial risks.
Every Industry
and its shareholders face both systematic and unsystematic risk. Let us see these risk factors type in the next post.
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